বাংলাদেশের স্বাধীনতা যুদ্ধ দলিলপত্র (ত্রয়োদশ খণ্ড)/৫৮

 শিরোনাম  সূত্র   তারিখ
আন্তর্জাতিক উন্নয়ন এজেন্সির রিপোর্ট (অংশ) পররাষ্ট্র দপ্তর ২০ জুলাই, ১৯৭১

DEPARTMENT OF STATE
AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
Washington D.C. 20523


Disaster Memo. Number Three
July 20, 1971

East Pakistan-Civil Strife and Cyclone Victims.

SITUATION IN EAST PAKHSTAN

General. Pakistan refugees are reported crossing the border into India at a rate of about 50,000 per day. Total in India as of July 14, is approximately 6.8 million. The return flow so far has been small about 50,000.


 In his speech of June 28, President Yahya Khan of Pakistan reviewed the steps the GOP has planned designed to end the refugee flow and to encourage Pakistanis now in India to return: grant of amnesty; establishment of reception centers; guarantees for restitution of property; assurances of protection for returning Hindus (the vast majority of the refugees); agreement to UN presence; forthcoming appointment of senior civilian officials for refugee and relief programs.


North-western East Pakistan. A survey team report on a recent visit to the northwestern part of East Pakistan disclosed much dislocation of people had occurred as a result of villages having been burned and towns damaged. Acute depopulation was in evidence in Pabna, Bogra, Dinajpur and Paksi. An exception, however, was Rangpur, which had remained stable and had suffered little damage. Lack of authority at the local level in some of these towns has allowed traditional conflicts among groups with opposing political and religious views still to erupt. Almost none of the refugees who left this region have returned to their former homes. Normal rail and road transport routes are still disrupted. The important aman rice crop to be harvested in October/November is not expected to approach former productivity. If a large number of the displaced people do return, the food problem could become even more serious. The question has been raised, according to reports, whether insurgent groups might resist efforts to bring in food and make agricultural inputs that would normalize the situation in northwestern East Pakistan.


 Schools for the most part have not been operating in the area and attendance was estimated at 5 to 10 per cent of normal. Few people were seen working in the fields. The restoration of rail and road routes are particularly important in northwestern East Pakistan where: many places are not accessible by river.  With regard to agricultural production, Dinajpur, Rangpur, Rajshahi, and Bogra are normally surplus areas. Pabna and Kushtia are normally deficit. Because the area normally surplus is now under populated, famine conditions are not expected to develop in this area, but the anticipated lower production will affect the total production levels in East Pakistan as a whole. Among the reasons for anticipated lower agriculture production are the in- ability to transport and distribute production inputs such as water, seeds, fertilizers and pesticides, and disruption of labor and credit. Following is the outlook for fall harvest by crops:


 Aman-in Dinajpur may be as low as 10% of normal; in Rangpur it is expected to be about 80% of normal.


Jute-down 15%.

 Boro (water-planted rice)-about normal.


 Sugar-good but the ability of mills to process is in doubt due to labor shortages and destruction of one mill,

Russell S. McClure  
Disaster Relief Coordinator